NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
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Estimating and Forecasting Disease Scenarios for COVID-19 with an SIR Model

Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky, Tao Zha

NBER Working Paper No. 27335
Issued in June 2020

---- Acknowledgments ----

Andrew Atkeson has benefited from conversations with James Stock on this topic. We are grateful to Hongyi Fu for superlative research assistance. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Federal Reserve Banks of Atlanta and Minneapolis, the Federal Reserve System, or the National Bureau of Economic Research.

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